Arborlook
Risk & Response by Arborlook Insights

Bay City Department Of Public Safety

CAREER MI 3 Stations
26,015
Population
11.2
Sq Miles
2,322
Density / Sq Mi
9
Census Tracts
Relatively Moderate
NRI Risk Rating

Service Area Overview

Your department boundary, station locations, and overall NRI risk scores by census tract. Use the sections below to explore specific hazards, fire risk indicators, and EMS demand drivers across your service area.

Service area, population, and census tract assignments are based on department boundaries from NERIS Public. Boundary accuracy varies by jurisdiction.

Natural Hazard Risk

What this means for planning: With a risk score of 92.6 (Very High nationally), winter weather is your leading natural hazard. Prepare for snow and ice incidents, cold-exposure emergencies, and coordination with public works on emergency access. Establish warming center partnerships for vulnerable populations.

Top 5 Hazards in Your Service Area

  • Winter Weather
    92.6 Risk Score Very High
  • Strong Wind
    89.4 Risk Score Very High
  • Cold Wave
    85 Risk Score Very High
  • Hail
    76.3 Risk Score Relatively High
  • Tornado
    71.7 Risk Score Relatively High

How to read this map: Colors show absolute national risk levels (red = Very High nationally, green = Very Low nationally). These are objective hazard comparisons across all U.S. communities.

Historical Disaster Declarations

Your county has experienced 3 FEMA disaster declarations in the last 10 years, and 5 declarations in the last 25 years.

DateTypeTitle
2020-03-27BiologicalCOVID-19 PANDEMIC
2020-03-13BiologicalCOVID-19
2017-08-02Severe StormSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING
2005-09-07HurricaneHURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION
2001-01-10SnowstormSNOW

Demographics & Vulnerability

Why This Matters

Your community's demographics shape everything — from where you need smoke alarm programs to how many of your calls are EMS. The data below identifies who generates the most emergency demand, who faces the greatest barriers during emergencies, and who benefits most from targeted CRR outreach.

Age Distribution

Age drives EMS call volume (highest utilization: 65+ and especially 75+, with elevated rates also among children under 5), shapes fire safety education priorities, and determines evacuation assistance needs. The dark marker on each bar shows the national average.

Under 5
4.6% (1,184)
Ages 5-17
14.5% (3,777)
Ages 18-64
62.7% (16,301)
Ages 65-74
10.9% (2,846)
Ages 75-84
4.9% (1,280)
Ages 85+
2.4% (627)
Your Community
National Average

Social Vulnerability Indicators

These indicators identify populations that need additional support during emergencies, face barriers to self-evacuation or medical access, and benefit most from proactive CRR programming.

Vulnerability Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, evacuation assistance needs, accessible communication requirements
19.9% 18.4% 13.4% ≈ average
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to safety resources
19.5% 18.0% 12.4% ≈ average
Uninsured Rate
May delay medical care, leading to emergencies
6.0% 6.1% 8.2% ≈ average
Limited English Households
Language barrier to emergency communication
0.8% 1.5% 4.2% 1.9x lower
No Vehicle Access
Transport-dependent for evacuation
13.4% 9.7% 8.5% slightly higher
No Internet Access
Disconnected from digital emergency alerts
10.1% 8.7% 6.6% slightly higher

Economic Context

Median Household Income
$47,971
Peers: $58,238 · National: $89,949
Per Capita Income
$30,095
Peers: $32,007 · National: $44,638
Median Home Value
$101,234
Peers: $136,084 · National: $402,984

Fire Risk Factors

What this means for planning: Focus fire prevention efforts on cooking safety (leading cause of home fires), heating equipment safety, electrical hazards, and smoke alarm installation programs. Target education toward renters and multi-family buildings where fire incidence is typically higher.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Pre-1980 Housing
Pre-1980 construction standards
85.0% 73.1% 36.0% slightly higher
High-Risk Heating
Wood, fuel oil, coal
0.8% 0.5% 5.7% 1.5x higher
Vacancy Rate
Vacant properties at higher fire risk
9.4% 9.5% 10.3% ≈ average
Mobile Homes
Structural fire spread risk
1.2% 1.9% 5.8% 1.7x lower
Renter-Occupied
Higher turnover, variable maintenance
32.0% 35.6% 34.4% ≈ average

EMS Risk Factors

EMS typically accounts for 60-80% of fire department call volume nationally. The demographics below are the strongest predictors of where that demand comes from in your service area.

What this means for planning: 19.9% of residents have a disability — slightly higher the national average. Residents with disabilities have higher EMS utilization and may require specialized evacuation assistance, accessible communication during emergencies, and coordination with social services. Consider functional needs assessments in pre-incident planning and partnerships with disability advocacy organizations.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Population 65+
Highest EMS utilization group
18.3% 18.4% 17.4% ≈ average
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, specialized assistance needs
19.9% 18.4% 13.4% ≈ average
No Vehicle Access
Transport-dependent for medical access
13.4% 9.7% 8.5% slightly higher
Uninsured Rate
May delay care, leading to emergencies
6.0% 6.1% 8.2% ≈ average
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to healthcare access
19.5% 18.0% 12.4% ≈ average

Critical Infrastructure Protected

Hospitals, schools, nursing homes, and childcare centers require pre-incident plans and specialized evacuation protocols. These counts go directly into AFG/SAFER grant narratives and CPSE/CFAI Standards of Cover documentation.

4
Hospitals
14
Schools (K-12)
18
Childcare Centers
0
Nursing Homes
36
Total Facilities

Peer Comparison

Departments similar to yours in size, type, density class, and region. Peer benchmarks contextualize your community risk profile and support “demonstrated need” narratives in grant applications.

Department State Population Risk Score 65+ % Poverty % Stations
Bay City Department Of Public Safety (You) MI 26,015 42.6 18.3% 19.5% 3
City Of Port Huron Fire Department MI 28,620 39 18.0% 22.6% 5
Owosso Fire Department MI 13,731 43 16.2% 17.3% 2
Quincy Fire Department IL 34,583 41.4 18.6% 17.8% 12
Alton Fire Department IL 25,610 51.5 16.4% 20.7% 2

Your Community Risk Profile Is Half the Story

This page shows what your community faces. Connecting your NERIS data shows the other half — where response is slowest in your highest-risk areas, whether you're meeting NFPA benchmarks, and how your CRR investments are performing against actual demand.

See the Response Dashboard

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