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Risk & Response by Arborlook Insights

Lake Carmel Fire Department

VOLUNTEER NY 2 Stations
7,750
Population
20.3
Sq Miles
381
Density / Sq Mi
2
Census Tracts
Very Low
NRI Risk Rating

Service Area Overview

Your department boundary, station locations, and overall NRI risk scores by census tract. Use the sections below to explore specific hazards, fire risk indicators, and EMS demand drivers across your service area.

Service area, population, and census tract assignments are based on department boundaries from NERIS Public. Boundary accuracy varies by jurisdiction.

Natural Hazard Risk

What this means for planning: With a risk score of 77.4 (Relatively High nationally), landslide is your leading natural hazard. Work with emergency management to map high-risk slopes, establish technical rescue protocols, and coordinate with public works on monitoring and response during heavy rain events.

Top 5 Hazards in Your Service Area

  • Landslide
    77.4 Risk Score Relatively High
  • Strong Wind
    67.6 Risk Score Relatively High
  • Ice Storm
    64.5 Risk Score Relatively High
  • Hurricane
    59.9 Risk Score Relatively Moderate
  • Winter Weather
    58.8 Risk Score Relatively Moderate

How to read this map: Colors show absolute national risk levels (red = Very High nationally, green = Very Low nationally). These are objective hazard comparisons across all U.S. communities.

Historical Disaster Declarations

Your county has experienced 7 FEMA disaster declarations in the last 10 years, and 19 declarations in the last 25 years.

DateTypeTitle
2023-07-22Severe StormSEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING
2021-09-05HurricaneREMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA
2021-09-02HurricaneREMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA
2021-08-22HurricaneHURRICANE HENRI
2020-10-02HurricaneTROPICAL STORM ISAIAS

Demographics & Vulnerability

Why This Matters

Your community's demographics shape everything — from where you need smoke alarm programs to how many of your calls are EMS. The data below identifies who generates the most emergency demand, who faces the greatest barriers during emergencies, and who benefits most from targeted CRR outreach.

Age Distribution

Age drives EMS call volume (highest utilization: 65+ and especially 75+, with elevated rates also among children under 5), shapes fire safety education priorities, and determines evacuation assistance needs. The dark marker on each bar shows the national average.

Under 5
7.5% (582)
Ages 5-17
15.3% (1,182)
Ages 18-64
63.0% (4,885)
Ages 65-74
9.3% (717)
Ages 75-84
3.2% (249)
Ages 85+
1.7% (135)
Your Community
National Average

Social Vulnerability Indicators

These indicators identify populations that need additional support during emergencies, face barriers to self-evacuation or medical access, and benefit most from proactive CRR programming.

Vulnerability Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, evacuation assistance needs, accessible communication requirements
11.0% 12.1% 13.4% ≈ average
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to safety resources
8.4% 8.9% 12.4% ≈ average
Uninsured Rate
May delay medical care, leading to emergencies
3.0% 4.2% 8.2% slightly lower
Limited English Households
Language barrier to emergency communication
2.3% 1.3% 4.2% 1.7x higher
No Vehicle Access
Transport-dependent for evacuation
6.5% 5.5% 8.5% slightly higher
No Internet Access
Disconnected from digital emergency alerts
7.7% 6.3% 6.6% slightly higher

Economic Context

Median Household Income
$112,531
Peers: $93,843 · National: $89,949
Per Capita Income
$47,786
Peers: $46,235 · National: $44,638
Median Home Value
$361,594
Peers: $287,217 · National: $402,984

Fire Risk Factors

What this means for planning: 54.8% of households use high-risk heating fuels (wood, fuel oil, coal). Prioritize public education on heating safety, chimney inspections, proper fuel storage, and clearance around heating equipment. Partner with code enforcement on rental property inspections during heating season.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Pre-1980 Housing
Pre-1980 construction standards
80.8% 66.9% 36.0% slightly higher
High-Risk Heating
Wood, fuel oil, coal
54.8% 23.6% 5.7% 2.3x higher
Vacancy Rate
Vacant properties at higher fire risk
5.2% 8.5% 10.3% 1.6x lower
Mobile Homes
Structural fire spread risk
0.0% 1.9% 5.8% Infx lower
Renter-Occupied
Higher turnover, variable maintenance
14.4% 23.5% 34.4% 1.6x lower

EMS Risk Factors

EMS typically accounts for 60-80% of fire department call volume nationally. The demographics below are the strongest predictors of where that demand comes from in your service area.

What this means for planning: Your community demographics suggest moderate EMS demand. Focus on efficient response protocols, NFPA compliance tracking, and community paramedicine programs to expand your role in public health and preventive care.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Population 65+
Highest EMS utilization group
14.2% 19.2% 17.4% slightly lower
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, specialized assistance needs
11.0% 12.1% 13.4% ≈ average
No Vehicle Access
Transport-dependent for medical access
6.5% 5.5% 8.5% slightly higher
Uninsured Rate
May delay care, leading to emergencies
3.0% 4.2% 8.2% slightly lower
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to healthcare access
8.4% 8.9% 12.4% ≈ average

Critical Infrastructure Protected

Hospitals, schools, nursing homes, and childcare centers require pre-incident plans and specialized evacuation protocols. These counts go directly into AFG/SAFER grant narratives and CPSE/CFAI Standards of Cover documentation.

0
Hospitals
2
Schools (K-12)
2
Childcare Centers
1
Nursing Homes
5
Total Facilities

Peer Comparison

Departments similar to yours in size, type, density class, and region. Peer benchmarks contextualize your community risk profile and support “demonstrated need” narratives in grant applications.

Department State Population Risk Score 65+ % Poverty % Stations
Lake Carmel Fire Department (You) NY 7,750 4.4 14.2% 8.4% 2
Sound Beach Fire Department NY 5,475 3.2 10.5% 2.4% 1
Southport Fire Department NY 6,450 9.6 25.3% 11.5% 1
West Mead Volunteer Fire Department 2 PA 4,560 14.8 21.6% 10.1% 1
Waynesboro Volunteer Fire Department PA 6,893 17.2 15.7% 7.9% 1

Your Community Risk Profile Is Half the Story

This page shows what your community faces. Connecting your NERIS data shows the other half — where response is slowest in your highest-risk areas, whether you're meeting NFPA benchmarks, and how your CRR investments are performing against actual demand.

See the Response Dashboard

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