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Risk & Response by Arborlook Insights

Carroll County Fire Rescue

CAREER VA 2 Stations
25,616
Population
477.6
Sq Miles
54
Density / Sq Mi
8
Census Tracts
Relatively Moderate
NRI Risk Rating

Service Area Overview

Your department boundary, station locations, and overall NRI risk scores by census tract. Use the sections below to explore specific hazards, fire risk indicators, and EMS demand drivers across your service area.

Service area, population, and census tract assignments are based on department boundaries from NERIS Public. Boundary accuracy varies by jurisdiction.

Natural Hazard Risk

What this means for planning: With a risk score of 97.2 (Very High nationally), cold wave is your leading natural hazard. Focus on cold-exposure emergency response, warming center partnerships, and proactive wellness checks for vulnerable populations during extreme cold events.

Top 5 Hazards in Your Service Area

  • Cold Wave
    97.2 Risk Score Very High
  • Landslide
    96.9 Risk Score Very High
  • Wildfire
    81 Risk Score Very High
  • Lightning
    72.7 Risk Score Relatively High
  • Ice Storm
    71.1 Risk Score Relatively High

How to read this map: Colors show absolute national risk levels (red = Very High nationally, green = Very Low nationally). These are objective hazard comparisons across all U.S. communities.

Historical Disaster Declarations

Your county has experienced 67 FEMA disaster declarations in the last 10 years, and 97 declarations in the last 25 years.

DateTypeTitle
2026-01-24Winter StormSEVERE WINTER STORM
2026-01-23Winter StormSEVERE WINTER STORM
2025-04-04Severe StormSEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING
2024-10-01Tropical StormTROPICAL STORM HELENE
2024-09-29Tropical StormPOST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE

Demographics & Vulnerability

Why This Matters

Your community's demographics shape everything — from where you need smoke alarm programs to how many of your calls are EMS. The data below identifies who generates the most emergency demand, who faces the greatest barriers during emergencies, and who benefits most from targeted CRR outreach.

Age Distribution

Age drives EMS call volume (highest utilization: 65+ and especially 75+, with elevated rates also among children under 5), shapes fire safety education priorities, and determines evacuation assistance needs. The dark marker on each bar shows the national average.

Under 5
4.5% (1,142)
Ages 5-17
13.5% (3,456)
Ages 18-64
55.2% (14,147)
Ages 65-74
15.4% (3,936)
Ages 75-84
8.5% (2,184)
Ages 85+
2.9% (751)
Your Community
National Average

Social Vulnerability Indicators

These indicators identify populations that need additional support during emergencies, face barriers to self-evacuation or medical access, and benefit most from proactive CRR programming.

Vulnerability Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, evacuation assistance needs, accessible communication requirements
18.1% 15.0% 13.4% slightly higher
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to safety resources
15.6% 14.0% 12.4% ≈ average
Uninsured Rate
May delay medical care, leading to emergencies
9.0% 11.2% 8.2% slightly lower
Limited English Households
Language barrier to emergency communication
0.7% 2.3% 4.2% 3.4x lower
No Vehicle Access
Transport-dependent for evacuation
5.8% 5.9% 8.5% ≈ average
No Internet Access
Disconnected from digital emergency alerts
15.2% 7.5% 6.6% 2.0x higher

Economic Context

Median Household Income
$53,168
Peers: $80,575 · National: $89,949
Per Capita Income
$31,251
Peers: $41,785 · National: $44,638
Median Home Value
$157,672
Peers: $322,422 · National: $402,984

Fire Risk Factors

What this means for planning: 18.7% of households use high-risk heating fuels (wood, fuel oil, coal). Prioritize public education on heating safety, chimney inspections, proper fuel storage, and clearance around heating equipment. Partner with code enforcement on rental property inspections during heating season.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Pre-1980 Housing
Pre-1980 construction standards
45.8% 17.4% 36.0% 2.6x higher
High-Risk Heating
Wood, fuel oil, coal
18.7% 0.6% 5.7% 29.1x higher
Vacancy Rate
Vacant properties at higher fire risk
23.6% 18.0% 10.3% slightly higher
Mobile Homes
Structural fire spread risk
20.2% 13.4% 5.8% 1.5x higher
Renter-Occupied
Higher turnover, variable maintenance
22.6% 26.4% 34.4% ≈ average

EMS Risk Factors

EMS typically accounts for 60-80% of fire department call volume nationally. The demographics below are the strongest predictors of where that demand comes from in your service area.

What this means for planning: 18.1% of residents have a disability — slightly higher the national average. Residents with disabilities have higher EMS utilization and may require specialized evacuation assistance, accessible communication during emergencies, and coordination with social services. Consider functional needs assessments in pre-incident planning and partnerships with disability advocacy organizations.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Population 65+
Highest EMS utilization group
26.8% 19.7% 17.4% slightly higher
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, specialized assistance needs
18.1% 15.0% 13.4% slightly higher
No Vehicle Access
Transport-dependent for medical access
5.8% 5.9% 8.5% ≈ average
Uninsured Rate
May delay care, leading to emergencies
9.0% 11.2% 8.2% slightly lower
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to healthcare access
15.6% 14.0% 12.4% ≈ average

Critical Infrastructure Protected

Hospitals, schools, nursing homes, and childcare centers require pre-incident plans and specialized evacuation protocols. These counts go directly into AFG/SAFER grant narratives and CPSE/CFAI Standards of Cover documentation.

0
Hospitals
13
Schools (K-12)
11
Childcare Centers
3
Nursing Homes
27
Total Facilities

Peer Comparison

Departments similar to yours in size, type, density class, and region. Peer benchmarks contextualize your community risk profile and support “demonstrated need” narratives in grant applications.

Department State Population Risk Score 65+ % Poverty % Stations
Carroll County Fire Rescue (You) VA 25,616 53.5 26.8% 15.6% 2
Burke County Emergency Management Agency GA 22,515 59.4 17.2% 16.8% 12
Mccormick County Emergency Services SC 22,683 74.3 23.6% 10.6% 4
Crisp County Fire Rescue GA 19,790 78.3 19.8% 23.3% 6
South Greenville Fire District SC 23,235 54.6 15.6% 13.3% 12

Your Community Risk Profile Is Half the Story

This page shows what your community faces. Connecting your NERIS data shows the other half — where response is slowest in your highest-risk areas, whether you're meeting NFPA benchmarks, and how your CRR investments are performing against actual demand.

See the Response Dashboard

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